Posts Tagged ‘Options Expiry’

Another Profitable Options Strategy – The Credit Spread

October 5th, 2009

Today, I’m going to talk about another options strategy… the CREDIT SPREAD. This is actually a directional strategy, which means you have to be either bullish or bearish about a stock.

Let’s start with an example… Suppose you are a big iPhone fan and are extremely bullish about Apple (AAPL). You looked at the chart and identified strong support at $148.28. You believe that there is no way AAPL is going to fall below $148.28. In that case, you can choose to sell the nearest OTM Put, which is the $145 Put. In order to protect yourself from any unexpected plunge in the stock, you buy an even lower OTM Put, which is the $140 Put.

Example of a AAPL Bull Put Spread

Example of a AAPL Bull Put Spread

Let’s just suppose you sold the $145 Put for $2.70 and bought the $140 Put for $1.20. What you’ve done is you’ve just sold a Bull Put Spread. Since the $145 Put that you sold is more expensive than the $140 Put, this spread is actually a credit spread; you earn premium upfront (($2.70 – $1.20)*100 = $150 per lot in this case).

If you are right and AAPL never trades below $145 for the entire period till expiry day, both the $145 and $140 Put options will expire worthless and you are a few hundred bucks richer.

However, if you are wrong (say Steve Jobs is suddenly ousted from AAPL again) and the stock price plunges to $100 on expiry date, your lose is limited. This is because although you will be forced to buy AAPL stock at $145 now, you can turn around and sell that same stock at $140, since you bought a $140 Put to protect yourself. Thus, your loss is only limited to $500 for every Put you sold.

But wait! Remember you earned a premium of $150 on that fateful day when you decided to sell the spread? This means your loss is actually $500 – $150 = $350 per lot (excluding commissions). That’s not half as bad as if you had not bought the $140 Put. In which case you would have lost ($145 – $100)*100 per lot… Even after deducting the premium that you earned, you would still have lost $4500 – $270 = $4230 per lot…

That’s the merit of doing a credit spread, as opposed to selling a naked option (i.e. selling an option without buying another to protect yourself)… Better safe than sorry.

What are Options Greeks? – Part 1: Delta

September 26th, 2009

If you have been even remotely interested in options trading, you would probably have heard of the options greeks, and seen those weird symbols that you thought should only belong in a Science or Math textbook…. So, what exactly are those greeks? In this post, I’m going to briefly introduce the options greeks and talk about one of my favourite greeks: Delta.

Simply stated, greeks are just measurements that help us estimate how the price of an option will change in response to changes in the underlying stock price, interest rate, volatility and time passing.

The table below shows the five options greeks… and what they measure:

Options Greeks

Options Greeks

The best way to explain is through an example… In this post, I’ll concentrate on the delta, leaving the other greeks for my future posts….

The chart shows the deltas for AAPL Nov 09 Options… The current price of AAPL is $184…

Delta

Delta

The left side of the chart shows the Call Options… Look at the row that is highlighted… It shows that the Nov 09 AAPL CALL option, with a strike price of $190, has a delta of 0.45. What this means is that when AAPL’s stock price increases by $1 (with all things being equal), the $190 Call option will rise by $0.45. Since the current bid price of the option is $8.50, we’ll expect the price to rise to $8.95 when the AAPL stock increases by $1.

In contrast, look at the Put Options on the right of the chart… We can see that all the deltas are negative… Look at the row that is highlighted… It shows that the Nov 09 AAPL PUT option, with a strike price of $150, has a delta of -0.10. What this means is that when AAPL’s stock price increases by $1, the Put $150 option will increase by -$0.10 (in other words, fall by $0.10). Since the current bid price of the option is $1.61, we’ll expect the price to fall to $1.51 when the AAPL stock increases by $1.

There are a few things to highlight about an option’s delta

  1. CALL options will always have positive deltas while PUT options will have negative deltas (i.e. their value decreases when the underlying stock price increases)
  2. An option’s delta does not stay the same throughout its lifetime.. The $190 CALL option, that currently has a delta of $0.45, will have a different delta as the stock price changes. For instance, if AAPL suddenly plunges to $100, we’ll expect the delta of the $190 CALL option to drastically decrease…
  3. The absolute value of a delta can also be viewed as the probability of the option expiring in-the-money…You’ll notice that for CALL options, the $130 option has a delta of 0.97.. This means that the option price will increase by $0.97 for every $1 increase in the stock price… It also means that there is a 97% chance that the option will expire in-the-money.. In other words, it is almost a certainty that the option will expire in-the-money… (That makes sense, since the option is already so deeply in-the-money at present…)In contrast, the $260 Call option has a delta of 0.02, indicating a 2% chance of expiring in-the-money. That is because $260 is very far from the current stock price (which is about $184).. so it is almost impossible for the $260 option to finish in-the-money…