Posts Tagged ‘MACD Divergence’

GBPJPY 27 Apr – A trade I wish I took

April 27th, 2010
GBPJPY 27 Apr

GBPJPY 27 Apr

This is a trade I missed…. I could have sold one pip below Candle A, which is an outside candle. Another possible entry is one pip below Candle B, which is a Pin bar.

However, in both cases, the signal candles did not really stand out… I would prefer candle A and B to be longer… so, I chose to skip this trade… which, unfortunately is working out fine at the moment… oh well…

Reason for entering trade:

  1. Resistance at long term bearish trendline (Candle A)
  2. Resistance at moving average and Fib 61.8 (Candle B)
  3. Price Action
  4. MACD Divergence (refer to “The bigger picture” below)
The Bigger Picture GBPJPY 27 Apr

The Bigger Picture GBPJPY 27 Apr

The Even Bigger Picture GBPJPY 27 Apr

The Even Bigger Picture GBPJPY 27 Apr

Update:

This trade would have netted 296 pips if entered below candle A, or 254 pips if entered below candle B.

Axioms of Trading

April 20th, 2010
  1. The trend is your friend
  2. Always try to enter after (two) pullbacks
  3. A failed signal is one of the most reliable signals (e.g. failed breakout of trendline)
  4. Bull and bear traps further increase the probability of success
  5. Indicators are lagging; price action provide much better entry points
  6. When in doubt, or when there’s contradicting information, DO NOT TRADE

Trading Reversals

April 8th, 2010

The trend is your friend… so, it is always easier to trade with the trend… Possible trend entry signals include:

  1. Matching Lows/Highs
  2. Outside bars

When trading reversals, looks for:

  1. Fibonanci Retracements
  2. MACD Divergence
  3. Price action (inside bar, outside bar, reversal bar, matching highs/matching lows)
  4. Price should preferably just peek (with closing) above previous high (for bearish reversal) or peek below previous low (for bullish reversal). That is, a tail should exist on the correct side.