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Apr 27
GBPJPY 27 Apr

GBPJPY 27 Apr

This is a trade I missed…. I could have sold one pip below Candle A, which is an outside candle. Another possible entry is one pip below Candle B, which is a Pin bar.

However, in both cases, the signal candles did not really stand out… I would prefer candle A and B to be longer… so, I chose to skip this trade… which, unfortunately is working out fine at the moment… oh well…

Reason for entering trade:

  1. Resistance at long term bearish trendline (Candle A)
  2. Resistance at moving average and Fib 61.8 (Candle B)
  3. Price Action
  4. MACD Divergence (refer to “The bigger picture” below)
The Bigger Picture GBPJPY 27 Apr

The Bigger Picture GBPJPY 27 Apr

The Even Bigger Picture GBPJPY 27 Apr

The Even Bigger Picture GBPJPY 27 Apr

Update:

This trade would have netted 296 pips if entered below candle A, or 254 pips if entered below candle B.

Apr 21

I learnt that whenever I am afraid of missing out on a good trade, I tend to get impulsive and will almost inevitably end up making bad decisions.

I need to remind myself that

  • it is impossible for me to catch all trends
  • a single good trade a week is enough for me to meet my target
  • a bad trade avoided is equivalent to a good trade made (negative * negative = positive)
Apr 18
USDCAD Triangle Breakout

USDCAD Triangle Breakout

If I only drew the bearish trendline, Candle A may have tempted me to sell.. (inside bar at trendline). However, I always find inside bars tricky as they do not trap any traders.

If I drew the bullish trendline as well, I would realize that a triangle is forming and would wait for a breakout to occur.

One possible entry is two candles later, at one pip above candle A (The candle after candle A is a bear trap and a double high with candle A).

Another better entry is at candle B.