Today, let’s talk about another of my favorite options greek… The one that really makes money for me: Theta, a.k.a time decay…
According to the definition in my previous post, What are Options Greeks? – Part 1: Delta, Theta is the change in option price due to time passing. I’m not sure if this definition makes sense to you, so I’ll provide an example below:
Suppose I bought a $190 AAPL Oct Call Option last Fri, on 25th Sep 2009… That would have cost me about $2.70…
A $190 AAPL Call Option grants me the right to purchase the AAPL stock at $190.. however, as of last Fri, AAPL was trading at around $182, which means that the CALL option is fundamentally worthless… if that’s the case, why do I need to pay $2.70 for the option?
This $2.70 is what is known as the time value of the option… In other words, it is what the option is worth because of the time left before it expires… As long as the option has not expired, there is a chance that AAPL will rally above $190, say to $200… In which case, I can exercise my option and buy AAPL for $190, and sell it immediately on the market for a profit of $10 per share…. Thus, I often refer to “Time Value” as the “Price of Hope”… As long as the option has not expired, there is still hope that the option will become profitable…
If time value is the price of hope, then theta is measure of hopelessness…. It measures how the option price will decrease for every passing day…. For instance, the theta of the AAPL $190 Call Option is currently -0.13, which means that if all things remain unchanged (e.g. if AAPL stock price does not move at all), the option price will decrease by $0.13 everyday… As an option buyer, your theta will always be negative… In contrast, as an option seller, you’ll enjoy positive theta because with every passing day, the option will lose money, allowing you to buy back the option at a cheaper price if you so decide…
Source: http://www.funnytimes.com/playground/img/121330972131185.png
In fact, time decay is the greatest enemy of all options buyer… because even if you are right in predicting the stock’s direction, if the stock does not move enough to counter time decay, you will still lose money.. For instance, if AAPL only moves to $191 when my Oct option expires, I will still lose money because I paid $2.70 for hope…
In contrast, option sellers absolutely love time decay…. Even if the stock does not move at all, time decay will continue to make money for them with every passing day…



