Archive for the ‘Options Trading Education’ category

What are Options Greeks? – Part 2: Theta

September 27th, 2009

Today, let’s talk about another of my favorite options greek… The one that really makes money for me: Theta, a.k.a time decay…

According to the definition in my previous post, What are Options Greeks? – Part 1: Delta, Theta is the change in option price due to time passing. I’m not sure if this definition makes sense to you, so I’ll provide an example below:

Suppose I bought a $190 AAPL Oct Call Option last Fri, on 25th Sep 2009… That would have cost me about $2.70…

A $190 AAPL Call Option grants me the right to purchase the AAPL stock at $190.. however, as of last Fri, AAPL was trading at around $182, which means that the CALL option is fundamentally worthless… if that’s the case, why do I need to pay $2.70 for the option?

This $2.70 is what is known as the time value of the option… In other words, it is what the option is worth because of the time left before it expires… As long as the option has not expired, there is a chance that AAPL will rally above $190, say to $200… In which case, I can exercise my option and buy AAPL for $190, and sell it immediately on the market for a profit of $10 per share…. Thus, I often refer to “Time Value” as the “Price of Hope”… As long as the option has not expired, there is still hope that the option will become profitable…

If time value is the price of hope, then theta is measure of hopelessness…. It measures how the option price will decrease for every passing day…. For instance, the theta of the AAPL $190 Call Option is currently -0.13, which means that if all things remain unchanged (e.g. if AAPL stock price does not move at all), the option price will decrease by $0.13 everyday… As an option buyer, your theta will always be negative… In contrast, as an option seller, you’ll enjoy positive theta because with every passing day, the option will lose money, allowing you to buy back the option at a cheaper price if you so decide…

Time is Running Out...

Source: http://www.funnytimes.com/playground/img/121330972131185.png

In fact, time decay is the greatest enemy of all options buyer… because even if you are right in predicting the stock’s direction, if the stock does not move enough to counter time decay, you will still lose money.. For instance, if AAPL only moves to $191 when my Oct option expires, I will still lose money because I paid $2.70 for hope…

In contrast, option sellers absolutely love time decay…. Even if the stock does not move at all, time decay will continue to make money for them with every passing day…

What are Options Greeks? – Part 1: Delta

September 26th, 2009

If you have been even remotely interested in options trading, you would probably have heard of the options greeks, and seen those weird symbols that you thought should only belong in a Science or Math textbook…. So, what exactly are those greeks? In this post, I’m going to briefly introduce the options greeks and talk about one of my favourite greeks: Delta.

Simply stated, greeks are just measurements that help us estimate how the price of an option will change in response to changes in the underlying stock price, interest rate, volatility and time passing.

The table below shows the five options greeks… and what they measure:

Options Greeks

Options Greeks

The best way to explain is through an example… In this post, I’ll concentrate on the delta, leaving the other greeks for my future posts….

The chart shows the deltas for AAPL Nov 09 Options… The current price of AAPL is $184…

Delta

Delta

The left side of the chart shows the Call Options… Look at the row that is highlighted… It shows that the Nov 09 AAPL CALL option, with a strike price of $190, has a delta of 0.45. What this means is that when AAPL’s stock price increases by $1 (with all things being equal), the $190 Call option will rise by $0.45. Since the current bid price of the option is $8.50, we’ll expect the price to rise to $8.95 when the AAPL stock increases by $1.

In contrast, look at the Put Options on the right of the chart… We can see that all the deltas are negative… Look at the row that is highlighted… It shows that the Nov 09 AAPL PUT option, with a strike price of $150, has a delta of -0.10. What this means is that when AAPL’s stock price increases by $1, the Put $150 option will increase by -$0.10 (in other words, fall by $0.10). Since the current bid price of the option is $1.61, we’ll expect the price to fall to $1.51 when the AAPL stock increases by $1.

There are a few things to highlight about an option’s delta

  1. CALL options will always have positive deltas while PUT options will have negative deltas (i.e. their value decreases when the underlying stock price increases)
  2. An option’s delta does not stay the same throughout its lifetime.. The $190 CALL option, that currently has a delta of $0.45, will have a different delta as the stock price changes. For instance, if AAPL suddenly plunges to $100, we’ll expect the delta of the $190 CALL option to drastically decrease…
  3. The absolute value of a delta can also be viewed as the probability of the option expiring in-the-money…You’ll notice that for CALL options, the $130 option has a delta of 0.97.. This means that the option price will increase by $0.97 for every $1 increase in the stock price… It also means that there is a 97% chance that the option will expire in-the-money.. In other words, it is almost a certainty that the option will expire in-the-money… (That makes sense, since the option is already so deeply in-the-money at present…)In contrast, the $260 Call option has a delta of 0.02, indicating a 2% chance of expiring in-the-money. That is because $260 is very far from the current stock price (which is about $184).. so it is almost impossible for the $260 option to finish in-the-money…

Introduction to PUT Option – An Animation

September 23rd, 2009

Here’s Part 2 of the animation explaining options trading…. this time for PUT Options… Quite well explained… but I need to correct the definition of PUT option mentioned at 2:02…

It was stated that
Put Option = Buying the right to sell an underlying option…

That’s confusing… what is an underlying option??? You do not buy an option for the right to sell another option….. The correct definition for Put Option should be “Buying the right to sell an underlying SECURITY or ASSET“…

so, if you bought a AAPL Stock PUT option, you bought the right to sell the underlying security(in this case, the AAPL stock) at the pre-determined strike price…

I think this was just an oversight on the author’s part, cause his definition for CALL option was correct… Anyway, other than this mistake, the rest of the animation is pretty cool… enjoy :)