Archive for the ‘Featured’ category

Trader Strategy Match

March 31st, 2010

I’ve been doing a lot of ’soul-searching’ after I read the book Enhancing Trader Performance: Proven Strategies From the Cutting Edge of Trading Psychology by Brett N. Steenbarger…

He argued that everybody can be a successful trader, as long as they find the correct niche for themselves… Some traders are suitable for discretionary trading, others prefer a mechanical system… some need to day trade, others prefer to do lots of fundamental research and only trade once or twice a month…

This is not a new concept to me… It’s something that I always believed in… But he mentioned something else that struck me.. He said that if we have problems being disciplined in our trading, it may be because that trading style is not suitable for us… He gave an example of an army officer who had problems with spread trading, because deep down, he considers hedging to be a coward’s behavior…  Thus, he argued that if we find ourselves repeatedly breaking our rules when trading, working on our self-discipline may not be the solution… Instead, we should consider if the strategy is suitable for our personality…. He argued that there’s lots of trading strategies available… and any of them can be profitable as long as it suits you…

That was kind of an ‘aha’ moment for me… I realize I was wasting my time all along trying to figure out which trading strategy is more profitable… I wrote lots of EAs to compare trend trading, breakout strategies, candlesticks, arbitrage strategies etc… Maybe all of them are equally profitable… Come on, for every trading strategy out there, there are people who make a fortune from it, while others bust their accounts using the exact same strategy…

So, it is not about the strategy at all… It is about a match between the trader and the strategy… If the strategy is suitable for you… you’ll ‘resonate’ when trading it… You wouldn’t have problems following the rules.. because you are just being yourself… That’s when you know it’s the right one for you…

Enhancing Trader Performance

March 21st, 2010

I’m reading the book Enhancing Trader Performance: Proven Strategies From the Cutting Edge of Trading Psychology by Brett N. Steenbarger… The first chapter got me thinking… I realize I never really understood (or tried to understand) myself…

I thought I am a person that needs stability… even though I am self-employed, can’t stand the routine of a 9 to 5 job, and was very miserable when I was bonded for 5 years in my previous job….

I thought I am good at following rules and a mechanical system suits me best… even though when I was a Math student, I never focused on the “How”, but focused more on the “Why”s… I always tried to memorize as few formulae as possible… but rather seeked to understand the concept behind the formulae and derived them myself….

Anyway, I’ve come to some conclusions about myself:

  1. Analytical but emotional at times
  2. Seeks stimulation
  3. Extremely risk averse
  4. Likes the challenge and mental stimulation of solving a problem
  5. Strong need for freedom

I am not sure what trading style suits me best… though I have a vague idea… well, at least I know what does not suit me…

Another Profitable Options Strategy – The Credit Spread

October 5th, 2009

Today, I’m going to talk about another options strategy… the CREDIT SPREAD. This is actually a directional strategy, which means you have to be either bullish or bearish about a stock.

Let’s start with an example… Suppose you are a big iPhone fan and are extremely bullish about Apple (AAPL). You looked at the chart and identified strong support at $148.28. You believe that there is no way AAPL is going to fall below $148.28. In that case, you can choose to sell the nearest OTM Put, which is the $145 Put. In order to protect yourself from any unexpected plunge in the stock, you buy an even lower OTM Put, which is the $140 Put.

Example of a AAPL Bull Put Spread

Example of a AAPL Bull Put Spread

Let’s just suppose you sold the $145 Put for $2.70 and bought the $140 Put for $1.20. What you’ve done is you’ve just sold a Bull Put Spread. Since the $145 Put that you sold is more expensive than the $140 Put, this spread is actually a credit spread; you earn premium upfront (($2.70 – $1.20)*100 = $150 per lot in this case).

If you are right and AAPL never trades below $145 for the entire period till expiry day, both the $145 and $140 Put options will expire worthless and you are a few hundred bucks richer.

However, if you are wrong (say Steve Jobs is suddenly ousted from AAPL again) and the stock price plunges to $100 on expiry date, your lose is limited. This is because although you will be forced to buy AAPL stock at $145 now, you can turn around and sell that same stock at $140, since you bought a $140 Put to protect yourself. Thus, your loss is only limited to $500 for every Put you sold.

But wait! Remember you earned a premium of $150 on that fateful day when you decided to sell the spread? This means your loss is actually $500 – $150 = $350 per lot (excluding commissions). That’s not half as bad as if you had not bought the $140 Put. In which case you would have lost ($145 – $100)*100 per lot… Even after deducting the premium that you earned, you would still have lost $4500 – $270 = $4230 per lot…

That’s the merit of doing a credit spread, as opposed to selling a naked option (i.e. selling an option without buying another to protect yourself)… Better safe than sorry.