Archive for February, 2010

My first robot – The Roverbot

February 28th, 2010

Finally got around to building my first robot… Nothing fantastic… Just some kiddie stuff…. but I’m glad my ‘antique’ Mindstorm set is working fine, especially the motors and sensors… though some of my wires have started to disintegrate… maybe my house is too warm and humid… (and speaking of warm, this February is fucking warm… the hottest in 36 years????)

Anyway, I’ve taken a video of the robot to commemorate its birth… posted it to YouTube with my HTC G1… The video quality is quite bad, but basically, all the robot does is simple stuff like Turn Left, Turn Right, Move Forward, Move in Zigzag fashion etc..

MACD Divergence (26th Feb)

February 27th, 2010

Another MACD divergence, on the GBPUSD… I wouldn’t trade this, cos it is already 4pm London time… On a Fri afternoon… Market’s going to be very quiet soon, so I don’t expect much movement… Moreover, the divergence did not coincide with any Fibo levels…

Nonetheless, this trade looks very tempting… almost the perfect divergence…. Quite eager to see how price behaves after this….

GBPUSD (26th Feb)

GBPUSD (26th Feb)

P/S: The update can be found here.

Update on “More Divergence (25th Feb)”

February 26th, 2010

I posted yesterday about the multiple divergence patterns spotted (click here for post)… Eventually, I opened positions in AUDUSD and USDCAD…

Profits on 25th Feb

Profits on 25th Feb

From the screen capture above, it can be seen that the first position was not profitable… I was stopped out at a loss of $700… After being stopped out, I felt that the divergence pattern was still valid, so I entered two more positions, 2 lots each in AUDUSD (bullish engulfing price action) and USDCAD (bearish engulfing price action)… These two positions were profitable with a total profit of $1845.39…

Frankly speaking, if I were trading with real money, I’ll probably not dare to bet so big when I re-enter; once bitten, twice shy… I guess I will only enter with one lot in USDCAD, maybe make enough for me to break even…. I still got a long way to go in training my psychology…

Nonetheless, I’m getting more comfortable with MACD divergence and price action trading in general… But although I have a fairly high percentage of winning trades, I know my risk management needs to be improved on…

  1. My risk/reward ratio for each trade is only about 1:1, if I hit a string of losses, or if the winning percentage falls below 50%, this system is going to be non-profitable…
  2. At present, I decide on the lots to enter based on instinct. I should actually calculate my lots based on my stop loss… else a single losing trade can easily wipe out profits on two or more trades….